| Justify your alpha D Lakens, FG Adolfi, CJ Albers, F Anvari, MAJ Apps, SE Argamon, ... Nature human behaviour 2 (3), 168-171, 2018 | 374 | 2018 |
| An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics MA Johansson, KM Apfeldorf, S Dobson, J Devita, AL Buczak, B Baugher, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (48), 24268-24274, 2019 | 106 | 2019 |
| Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law D Manheim, S Garrabrant https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.04585, 2018 | 56* | 2018 |
| Terrorist Use of Cryptocurrencies: Technical and Organizational Barriers and Future Threats C Dion-Schwarz, D Manheim, PB Johnston RAND Corporation, 2019 | 54 | 2019 |
| National security implications of virtual currency: Examining the potential for non-state actor deployment J Baron, A O'Mahony, D Manheim, C Dion-Schwarz RAND Corporation-NDRI Santa Monica United States, 2015 | 51 | 2015 |
| Flood Insurance in New York City Following Hurricane Sandy L Dixon, N Clancy, B Bender, A Kofner, D Manheim, L Zakaras Rand Corporation, 2013 | 38 | 2013 |
| Improving decision support for infectious disease prevention and control D Manheim, M Chamberlin, OA Osoba, R Vardavas, M Moore Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 2016 | 26 | 2016 |
| Evaluating use cases for human challenge trials in accelerating SARS-CoV-2 vaccine development LC Nguyen, CW Bakerlee, TG McKelvey, SM Rose, AJ Norman, N Joseph, ... Clinical Infectious Diseases 72 (4), 710-715, 2021 | 25 | 2021 |
| Testing, tracing and isolation in compartmental models S Sturniolo, W Waites, T Colbourn, D Manheim, J Panovska-Griffiths PLoS computational biology 17 (3), e1008633, 2021 | 22 | 2021 |
| How civil institutions build resilience: organizational practices derived from academic literature and case studies KS Langeland, D Manheim, G McLeod, G Nacouzi Rand Corporation, 2016 | 22* | 2016 |
| Building Less Flawed Metrics: Dodging Goodhart and Campbell's Laws D Manheim | 21 | 2018 |
| Questioning estimates of natural pandemic risk D Manheim Health security 16 (6), 381-390, 2018 | 19 | 2018 |
| Multiparty dynamics and failure modes for machine learning and artificial intelligence D Manheim Big Data and Cognitive Computing 3 (2), 21, 2019 | 18* | 2019 |
| Exploring Risks of Human Challenge Trials For COVID‐19 D Manheim, W Wiȩcek, V Schmit, J Morrison, ... Risk Analysis 41 (5), 710-720, 2021 | 15 | 2021 |
| Forecasting AI progress: A research agenda R Gruetzemacher, FE Dorner, N Bernaola-Alvarez, C Giattino, D Manheim Technological Forecasting and Social Change 170, 120909, 2021 | 13 | 2021 |
| The fragile world hypothesis: Complexity, fragility, and systemic existential risk D Manheim Futures 122, 102570, 2020 | 13* | 2020 |
| Improving C2 and situational awareness for operations in and through the information environment C Paul, CP Clarke, BL Triezenberg, D Manheim, B Wilson RAND NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INST SANTA MONICA CA SANTA MONICA United States, 2018 | 13 | 2018 |
| Modelling the health and economic impacts of population-wide testing, contact tracing and isolation (PTTI) strategies for COVID-19 in the UK T Colbourn, W Waites, J Panovska-Griffiths, D Manheim, S Sturniolo, ... | 12 | 2020 |
| Review of potential high-leverage and inexpensive mitigations for reducing risk in epidemics and pandemics D Manheim, D Denkenberger Journal of Global Health Reports 4, 2020 | 11 | 2020 |
| Testing, tracing and isolation in compartmental models S Sturniolo, W Waites, T Colbourn, D Manheim, J Panovska-Griffiths medRxiv, 2020 | 11 | 2020 |
Patrick B. JohnstonSenior Political Scientist, RAND CorporationVerified email at rand.org
