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David Manheim
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Justify your alpha
D Lakens, FG Adolfi, CJ Albers, F Anvari, MAJ Apps, SE Argamon, ...
Nature human behaviour 2 (3), 168-171, 2018
3742018
An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics
MA Johansson, KM Apfeldorf, S Dobson, J Devita, AL Buczak, B Baugher, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (48), 24268-24274, 2019
1062019
Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law
D Manheim, S Garrabrant
https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.04585, 2018
56*2018
Terrorist Use of Cryptocurrencies: Technical and Organizational Barriers and Future Threats
C Dion-Schwarz, D Manheim, PB Johnston
RAND Corporation, 2019
542019
National security implications of virtual currency: Examining the potential for non-state actor deployment
J Baron, A O'Mahony, D Manheim, C Dion-Schwarz
RAND Corporation-NDRI Santa Monica United States, 2015
512015
Flood Insurance in New York City Following Hurricane Sandy
L Dixon, N Clancy, B Bender, A Kofner, D Manheim, L Zakaras
Rand Corporation, 2013
382013
Improving decision support for infectious disease prevention and control
D Manheim, M Chamberlin, OA Osoba, R Vardavas, M Moore
Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 2016
262016
Evaluating use cases for human challenge trials in accelerating SARS-CoV-2 vaccine development
LC Nguyen, CW Bakerlee, TG McKelvey, SM Rose, AJ Norman, N Joseph, ...
Clinical Infectious Diseases 72 (4), 710-715, 2021
252021
Testing, tracing and isolation in compartmental models
S Sturniolo, W Waites, T Colbourn, D Manheim, J Panovska-Griffiths
PLoS computational biology 17 (3), e1008633, 2021
222021
How civil institutions build resilience: organizational practices derived from academic literature and case studies
KS Langeland, D Manheim, G McLeod, G Nacouzi
Rand Corporation, 2016
22*2016
Building Less Flawed Metrics: Dodging Goodhart and Campbell's Laws
D Manheim
212018
Questioning estimates of natural pandemic risk
D Manheim
Health security 16 (6), 381-390, 2018
192018
Multiparty dynamics and failure modes for machine learning and artificial intelligence
D Manheim
Big Data and Cognitive Computing 3 (2), 21, 2019
18*2019
Exploring Risks of Human Challenge Trials For COVID‐19
D Manheim, W Wiȩcek, V Schmit, J Morrison, ...
Risk Analysis 41 (5), 710-720, 2021
152021
Forecasting AI progress: A research agenda
R Gruetzemacher, FE Dorner, N Bernaola-Alvarez, C Giattino, D Manheim
Technological Forecasting and Social Change 170, 120909, 2021
132021
The fragile world hypothesis: Complexity, fragility, and systemic existential risk
D Manheim
Futures 122, 102570, 2020
13*2020
Improving C2 and situational awareness for operations in and through the information environment
C Paul, CP Clarke, BL Triezenberg, D Manheim, B Wilson
RAND NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INST SANTA MONICA CA SANTA MONICA United States, 2018
132018
Modelling the health and economic impacts of population-wide testing, contact tracing and isolation (PTTI) strategies for COVID-19 in the UK
T Colbourn, W Waites, J Panovska-Griffiths, D Manheim, S Sturniolo, ...
122020
Review of potential high-leverage and inexpensive mitigations for reducing risk in epidemics and pandemics
D Manheim, D Denkenberger
Journal of Global Health Reports 4, 2020
112020
Testing, tracing and isolation in compartmental models
S Sturniolo, W Waites, T Colbourn, D Manheim, J Panovska-Griffiths
medRxiv, 2020
112020
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