| Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (15), e2113561119, 2022 | 246* | 2022 |
| Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the US EL Ray, N Wattanachit, J Niemi, AH Kanji, K House, EY Cramer, J Bracher, ... medRxiv, 2020 | 199 | 2020 |
| Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format J Bracher, EL Ray, T Gneiting, NG Reich PLOS Computational Biology 17 (2), e1008618, 2021 | 176 | 2021 |
| Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: the 13th Armitage lecture L Held, S Meyer, J Bracher Statistics in medicine 36 (22), 3443-3460, 2017 | 95 | 2017 |
| The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset EY Cramer, Y Huang, Y Wang, EL Ray, M Cornell, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Scientific Data 9 (1), 1-15, 2022 | 82 | 2022 |
| A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave J Bracher, D Wolffram, J Deuschel, K Goergen, JL Ketterer, A Ullrich, ... Nature Communications, 2020 | 77* | 2020 |
| Long-term air pollution exposure and lung function in 15 year-old adolescents living in an urban and rural area in Germany: the GINIplus and LISAplus cohorts E Fuertes, J Bracher, C Flexeder, I Markevych, C Klümper, B Hoffmann, ... International journal of hygiene and environmental health 218 (7), 656-665, 2015 | 74 | 2015 |
| Endemic-epidemic models with discrete-time serial interval distributions for infectious disease prediction J Bracher, L Held International Journal of Forecasting, 2020 | 45 | 2020 |
| Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandman, ... medRxiv, 2022 | 40 | 2022 |
| Collaborative hubs: making the most of predictive epidemic modeling NG Reich, J Lessler, S Funk, C Viboud, A Vespignani, RJ Tibshirani, ... American journal of public health 112 (6), 839-842, 2022 | 30 | 2022 |
| Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States EL Ray, LC Brooks, J Bien, M Biggerstaff, NI Bosse, J Bracher, EY Cramer, ... International journal of forecasting, 2022 | 21 | 2022 |
| Using crowdsourced online experiments to study context-dependency of behavior M Keuschnigg, F Bader, J Bracher Social science research 59, 68-82, 2016 | 21 | 2016 |
| Comparing ensemble approaches for short-term probabilistic COVID-19 forecasts in the US LC Brooks, EL Ray, J Bien, J Bracher, A Rumack, RJ Tibshirani, NG Reich International Institute of Forecasters, 2020 | 20 | 2020 |
| Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland NI Bosse, S Abbott, J Bracher, H Hain, BJ Quilty, M Jit, ... PLOS Computational Biology 18 (9), e1010405, 2022 | 17 | 2022 |
| A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India ES Nightingale, LAC Chapman, S Srikantiah, S Subramanian, ... PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14 (7), e0008422, 2020 | 17 | 2020 |
| On the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions J Bracher Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (42), 20809-20810, 2019 | 17 | 2019 |
| Model diagnostics and forecast evaluation for quantiles T Gneiting, D Wolffram, J Resin, K Kraus, J Bracher, T Dimitriadis, ... Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application 10, 597-621, 2023 | 16 | 2023 |
| Challenges in training ensembles to forecast COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States EL Ray, LC Brooks, J Bien, J Bracher, A Gerding, A Rumack, ... International Institute of Forecasters, 2021 | 16 | 2021 |
| National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021 J Bracher, D Wolffram, J Deuschel, K Görgen, JL Ketterer, A Ullrich, ... Communications Medicine 2 (1), 136, 2022 | 15 | 2022 |
| A marginal moment matching approach for fitting endemic-epidemic models to underreported disease surveillance counts J Bracher, L Held Biometrics, 2020 | 15 | 2020 |
Sebastian FunkProfessor, London School of Hygiene & Tropical MedicineVerified email at lshtm.ac.uk
