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Pavel Atanasov
Pavel Atanasov
Assistant Professor of Decision Sciences
Verified email at ie.edu - Homepage
Title
Cited by
Cited by
Year
Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament
B Mellers, L Ungar, J Baron, J Ramos, B Gurcay, K Fincher, SE Scott, ...
Psychological science 25 (5), 1106-1115, 2014
3732014
The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics.
B Mellers, E Stone, P Atanasov, N Rohrbaugh, SE Metz, L Ungar, ...
Journal of experimental psychology: applied 21 (1), 1, 2015
2842015
Distilling the wisdom of crowds: Prediction markets versus prediction polls
PD Atanasov, P Rescober, E Stone, SA Swift, E Servan-Schreiber, ...
Management Science 63 (3), 2017
2062017
CAD or MAD? Anger (not disgust) as the predominant response to pathogen-free violations of the divinity code.
E Royzman, P Atanasov, JF Landy, A Parks, A Gepty
Emotion 14 (5), 892, 2014
1622014
Are culturally specific measures of trauma-related anxiety and depression needed? The case of Sri Lanka.
N Jayawickreme, E Jayawickreme, P Atanasov, MA Goonasekera, EB Foa
Psychological assessment 24 (4), 791, 2012
662012
Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
P Atanasov, J Witkowski, L Ungar, B Mellers, P Tetlock
Proceedings of the 21st ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 873-874, 2020
552020
Accountability and adaptive performance under uncertainty: A long-term view
W Chang, P Atanasov, S Patil, BA Mellers, PE Tetlock
Judgment and Decision Making 12 (6), 610-626, 2017
502017
Cost utility of adalimumab versus infliximab maintenance therapies in the United States for moderately to severely active Crohn’s disease
AP Yu, S Johnson, ST Wang, P Atanasov, J Tang, E Wu, J Chao, ...
Pharmacoeconomics 27, 609-621, 2009
502009
Risk preferences in choices for self and others: Meta analysis and research directions
PD Atanasov
Available at SSRN 1682569, 2015
46*2015
Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”
J Dana, P Atanasov, P Tetlock, B Mellers
Judgment and Decision Making 14 (2), 135-147, 2019
362019
Proper proxy scoring rules
J Witkowski, P Atanasov, L Ungar, A Krause
Proceedings of the 31st AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), 2017
322017
Leveling the playing field: Dishonesty in the face of threat
P Atanasov, J Dana
Journal of Economic Psychology 32 (5), 809-817, 2011
322011
Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences
M Himmelstein, P Atanasov, DV Budescu
Judgment and Decision Making 16 (2), 323-362, 2021
302021
SAGE: A hybrid geopolitical event forecasting system
F Morstatter, A Galstyan, G Satyukov, D Benjamin, A Abeliuk, M Mirtaheri, ...
28th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2019 …, 2019
272019
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events
DM Benjamin, F Morstatter, AE Abbas, A Abeliuk, P Atanasov, S Bennett, ...
AI Magazine 44 (1), 112-128, 2023
232023
Cautious defection: Group representatives cooperate and risk less than individuals
P Atanasov, H Kunreuther
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 29 (4), 372-380, 2016
192016
Putting health back into health insurance choice
P Atanasov, T Baker
Medical Care Research and Review 71 (4), 337-355, 2014
16*2014
Resource utilization and costs of schizophrenia patients treated with olanzapine versus quetiapine in a Medicaid population
AP Yu, P Atanasov, R Ben‐Hamadi, H Birnbaum, MD Stensland, G Philips
Value in Health 12 (5), 708-715, 2009
162009
Comparing physicians personal prevention practices and their recommendations to patients
P Atanasov, BL Anderson, J Cain, J Schulkin, J Dana
The Journal for Healthcare Quality (JHQ) 37 (3), 189-198, 2015
152015
Talent spotting in crowd prediction
P Atanasov, M Himmelstein
Judgment in predictive analytics, 135-184, 2023
142023
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